2.59" of precip over the past 40 days in combination with some hot dry stretches have left this location in a moderate dry on the verge of severely dry. We are 3+" in deficit for this timeframe. Most of the storm chances have either petered out prior to getting here or gone south.  This seems to be typical over the past 6 years.  Warm weather threats of rainfall tend to miss, vs during the colder weather systems.  The fire threat will be high if we get a period of low DPs and high winds. The ponds level is lower than the average level for this time of the year.  Grasses are stressed and burning.